Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 96240.589036 101446.596533 106648.344975 112232.368064 118053.548319 123939.517981 130337.292340
2025-10-05 88434.821017 96457.909203 104694.120272 113770.503861 123481.292338 133548.551201 144763.514160
2025-10-12 82895.719422 92886.600847 103362.768064 115145.110378 128005.139861 141593.127812 157013.309317
2025-10-19 78254.838862 89701.158837 101918.956526 115894.867373 131402.431765 148044.835295 167217.846844
2025-10-26 74082.566936 86641.275046 100258.137685 116066.888631 133860.814127 153214.960541 175801.738723
2025-11-02 70723.339678 84223.604393 99068.826437 116533.064523 136441.343060 158353.132632 184215.970505
2025-11-09 67509.211343 81761.259022 97638.998792 116546.996836 138353.248541 162614.579865 191546.474849
2025-11-16 65367.167434 80392.903487 97332.480487 117728.735939 141499.021766 168202.671737 200340.470284
2025-11-23 62710.585624 78285.162645 96046.474506 117660.694056 143104.724168 171954.014193 206978.280822
2025-11-30 61230.070206 77481.937064 96209.975407 119220.547487 146554.185907 177803.569290 216038.165863
2025-12-07 59582.653595 76395.278147 95965.720384 120234.468562 149313.248150 182821.434473 224124.464000
2025-12-14 57553.308576 74760.200927 94989.871022 120305.020858 150895.836795 186419.197136 230522.730230
2025-12-21 55649.553586 73230.333869 94104.851762 120462.727322 152580.744289 190160.943388 237148.203542
2025-12-28 54731.894819 72880.913524 94625.149879 122306.148404 156292.328132 196330.755245 246709.877176
2026-01-04 53711.467899 72356.956833 94893.625135 123812.327799 159579.558964 201995.413413 255693.363770
2026-01-11 52415.875691 71434.676078 94625.178089 124618.592187 161985.289399 206587.548645 263394.176478
2026-01-18 50900.029028 70178.146820 93891.761241 124803.499682 163592.502252 210191.675374 269894.754435
2026-01-25 49613.504468 69172.056608 93433.898774 125298.729273 165559.114034 214223.038987 276923.207110
2026-02-01 48176.411796 67923.550771 92626.197261 125313.629745 166895.804936 217463.096145 282978.591018
2026-02-08 47365.703285 67467.406604 92807.501317 126567.628000 169780.916554 222621.001867 291425.484634
2026-02-15 46017.049368 66257.708275 91980.121203 126495.436444 170962.252013 225647.402696 297227.265783
2026-02-22 45470.149776 66097.879950 92499.855286 128150.441646 174341.291597 231431.941865 306501.898996
2026-03-01 44707.606647 65622.143032 92585.461563 129226.087981 176972.083661 236282.888722 314629.766172